Alexandre Dayant is a senior and deputy director of the Indo-Pacific Development Centre at the Lowy Institute. Riley Duke is a research fellow working on the Lowy Institute Pacific Aid Map.
Donald Trump’s reelection and the return of his America First approach will inject new uncertainty into U.S. foreign policy. While his hardline stance on China will likely persist, the U.S. is already losing ground in the Pacific, where Beijing is regaining influence through its development projects as U.S. engagement falters.